Testimonial on www.amazon.in

 

 

“Amit takes us down the memory lane and re-caps the previous rallies and the turmoils. It is very interesting when he says that markets do fall because they do rise. The book is punched with interesting observations from similar books and mixes a good bunch of humour in between. This is a good read to set our expectations as an investor. Very good guide when we need help to learn the right behaviour in the market, as an investor. I enjoyed reading & learning.”

Rohit Shah on http://www.amazon.in

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Why Smart People Make Bad Decisions – a brilliant post by Morgan Housel

In another brilliant post, Morgan Housel brings some extremely important points:

  • One of the most persistent fallacies is the reflexive association of wealth with wisdom,” investor Ed Borgato tweeted this week.
  • Another is the association between intelligence and good decisions.
  • Intelligence increases the ability to fool yourself with elaborate stories about why something happened.
  • … the smarter and more creative we are, the more elaborate stories we can tell ourselves to justify our poor decisions
  • Intelligence pushes you toward the idea that complex problems require complex solutions.
  • Even when a problem requires a complex solution, the ability to communicate it in simple terms is indispensable to getting people to take you seriously.

Read the full post here

There are stories of some intelligent and brilliant investors in the book “Riding The Roller Coaster – Lessons from financial market cycles we repeatedly forget”. The list is quite illustrious.

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 262

Behaviour gap

In our last two posts, we discussed about why understanding psychology is important for investor success. Links to both the posts are given below for a quick reference.

  1. Why understanding investor psychology is important
  2. Why understanding investor psychology is important – 2

In many cases, one observes that what the investor takes home is far less than what the investment avenue generates. Nick Murray and Carl Richards call it the “Behaviour Gap” – a wonderful term coined to explain the role of human behaviour in taking financial decisions. The “gap” in behaviour gap pertains to the negative impact of the human behaviour on investment returns.

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 248

Why understanding investor psychology is important – 2

Continuing from yesterday’s post:

While the various assets would generate various kinds of investment returns, be it current income (in form of rent, interest or dividends) or capital growth over the years, it entirely depends on the behaviour of the investor as to how much of it one takes home.

This gap between what an investment generates and what an investor gets depends on costs (transaction costs, holding costs, maintenance costs, etc.), taxes and investor psychology. To some extent, the former increase due to unstable mind of the investor.

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 247

Why understanding investor psychology is important

he subject of behavioural economics, or behavioural finance, or plain simple investor psychology has been around for decades. However, it came into limelight only in last few years. Today, more number of people are talking about this subject.

This is not new. The role of emotions in our daily life has been explained by our Upanishads. As the famous Amrit Bindu Upanishad says

its-all-in-the-mind

(The mind alone is the reason of our bondage or our freedom.)

The fact is, ever since humans started dealing with other humans – even before money was invented – the relation between price and value has always been a subject of debate. There have been opinions justifying the price for the value and there are opinions questioning the price with respect to the value. Probably trade happens only due to such differences in opinions.

However, when cold logic is applied, it is often difficult to arrive at a decision. Add a pinch of emotions and you are able to arrive at a conclusive decision and act on it.

However, emotional decision making has its own flaws.

It is important to understand the role of emotions in our life and the flaws associated. These emotional flaws reduce the upside in case of our financial decisions or they increase the costs and the risks.

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 246

 

The enemy in the mirror

Recently, I came across a brilliant article on mistakes that many investors make.

It talks about the common mistakes many investors make and there are psychological reasons behind these. Investment decisions are taken more often based on biases like these rather than the economic ones.

This is very similar to what I have written in the book “Riding The Roller Coaster – Lessons from financial market cycles we repeatedly forget”

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 230

 

Common stocks … common tendency

Remember the words of Benjamin Graham: “Most of the times common stocks are subject to irrational and excessive price fluctuations in both directions as the consequence of the ingrained tendency of most people to speculate or gamble … to give way to hope, fear and greed.

#RidingTheRollerCoaster – 199